The Risk Analysis Science: Foundation and Challenges
Professor Terje Aven, University of Stavanger (Norway) and President of the Society for Risk Analysis
In this talk Aven will address some fundamental issues related to risk analysis as a field and science: Is risk analysis a science in itself or just a set of approaches and methods for supporting knowledge generation to solve real life problems – such as those related to technology, health, security or climate change? Aven argues that risk analysis is indeed a science per se, although it is not yet broadly acknowledged as such. In the talk Aven will outline the main pillars of this science, and discuss why the topic is important for the further development of risk analysis. Examples of issues addressed include: the risk concept, risk characterisations, uncertainties, risk management strategies, robustness and resilience based approaches, and risk governance. Also the role of SRA will be discussed.
Terje Aven, Ph.D., is Professor in Risk Analysis and Risk Management at the University of Stavanger, Norway. He is also a Principal Researcher at the International Research Institute of Stavanger (IRIS). Previously he was also adjunct Professor in Risk Analysis at the University of Oslo and the Norwegian University of Science and Technology. He has many years of experience as a risk analyst and consultant in industry. He is the author of many books and papers in the field, covering both fundamental issues as well as practical risk analysis methods. He served as the President of the European Safety and Reliability Association (ESRA) in the period 2014-2018 (June), and he is the current President of Society for Risk Analysis worldwide. He is Editor-in-Chief of the Journal of Risk and Reliability and Associate editor for several journals including Risk Analysis.
Biosecurity and Risk Analysis: Multiple disciplines or multidisciplinary?
Associate Professor Andrew Robinson, Director of the Centre of Excellence for Biosecurity Risk Analysis
Biosecurity is a largely sociological challenge with biological and economic implications. Recent revelations concerning biosecurity incursions into Australia, combined with the substantial experienced and projected increases in international trade and travel, sharpen our focus on the priorities and challenges of the management of biosecurity risk. The Beale review has told us that comforting historical archetypes of the Australian Quarantine Inspection Service battening down the hatches and protecting the national border against the storms of biosecurity risk are no longer sufficient; biosecurity must work across the continuum of activities. And there have been seismic rearrangements in the biosecurity research landscape. So, what is the work that needs to be done in order to inform the maintenance and development of our pliable yet resilient biosecurity system so that it scales with the future changes that we foresee - and how can it be done - and who will do it?
Andrew Robinson, Ph.D., is Director of the Centre of Excellence for Biosecurity Risk Analysis and reader and associate professor in applied statistics. Andrew focuses on ways of making and using measurements, with particular interests in both biosecurity and forestry. This topic carries him through applications of sampling theory, experimental design, statistical modelling, simulation, risk analysis, and decision making. He has authored many papers and books, including Invasive Species: Risk Assessment and Management (Cambridge University Press, 2017), which was launched at the 2017 SRA-ANZ conference. CEBRA continues to provide generous support for SRA-ANZ.